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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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WBAL
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poll, obama is still looking fairly strong in ohio. i guess if you had to put your savings somewhere you would probably say -- chris: so an electoral victory but a popular vote loss. >> my head says the seam thing but my gut is saying what i started this segment with. beats me. i mean, really. romney had to pass a major test. and he passed it. chris: in the first debate. >> in the first debate. these debates are about one thing and one thing only. whether or not you want to have this guy in your house for the next four years. chris: once he's in the house, hard to get him out. >> i agree. i agree with this completely. >> that obama spent the entire summer trying to con -- convince people you don't want this guy in your house and romney turned that around. chris: once he is in the leaving room -- in the living room watching tv -- i'm more skeptical of people saying i feel good about this. wait a minute. anyway, heerks the president hitting mitt romney as the change you can't believe in. >> there's no more serious issue in a presidential
poll, obama is still looking fairly strong in ohio. i guess if you had to put your savings somewhere you would probably say -- chris: so an electoral victory but a popular vote loss. >> my head says the seam thing but my gut is saying what i started this segment with. beats me. i mean, really. romney had to pass a major test. and he passed it. chris: in the first debate. >> in the first debate. these debates are about one thing and one thing only. whether or not you want to have...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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WETA
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gwen: john: >> mitt romney will not be president unless he outperforms the polls if the polls are not capturing the intensity behind mitt romney's superintendent porers or in some way they're exaggerating president obama's support -- gwen: where is the intensity right now? is it with the republicans or the democrats? >> we have it equal. in our polls they're equally inspired. that's exactly right. >> republicans think they have an advantage. >> it's dispor portion -- disproportion nat with white voters. african-americans are also pretty energized but latinos which the president is dominating are not. young voters are not. both of those are underperforming in terms of interest in the election and motivation. that's where the president's challenge is. he's got to make sure that he could harvest all the votes that shows up in these polls from latinos and from young voters. >> and gwen, just to follow on amy's point, barack obama sbrang to celebrity status with that speech of not white america, red, america. if he wins he's going to win because he was the president of black america, hispa
gwen: john: >> mitt romney will not be president unless he outperforms the polls if the polls are not capturing the intensity behind mitt romney's superintendent porers or in some way they're exaggerating president obama's support -- gwen: where is the intensity right now? is it with the republicans or the democrats? >> we have it equal. in our polls they're equally inspired. that's exactly right. >> republicans think they have an advantage. >> it's dispor portion --...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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WBAL
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most in the polls blame george w. bush more than barack obama for the way conditions were when he came in. when ask you are we better off now than four years ago, people remember four years ago the economy was going off a cliff and largely don't blame the president for that. and i think the second part is back to what john was saying. demographics is destiny. a lot more now than it has been in the past. and we have to almost throw out the conventional wisdom that it's things like the jobs numbers that matter. when you look at the demographics of this race, the president has such a commanding lead among african-americans. among hispanics. that it counterbalances mitt romney's lead among older white voters. and it makes it very difficult. if the electorate is still something like 26% minority, barack obama -- chris: i got to get the romney side. the burden, the remoteness, the fact that not even 30% of the people think he connects with their real lives. >> that's his problem. that's his problem. when you look at the pol
most in the polls blame george w. bush more than barack obama for the way conditions were when he came in. when ask you are we better off now than four years ago, people remember four years ago the economy was going off a cliff and largely don't blame the president for that. and i think the second part is back to what john was saying. demographics is destiny. a lot more now than it has been in the past. and we have to almost throw out the conventional wisdom that it's things like the jobs...
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polls show warren up by four. polls many virginia have the democrat, former governor tim kaine leading george allen by just two points. with races all tied up many places like nevada, arizona, montana, north dakota, wisconsin, and connecticut, it could be a nail-biter on tuesday night. now, democrats say they are cautiously optimistic about their prospects. while a republican official said recently romney has to win for us to win the senate. radi. >> thank you very much. >>> now back to the presidential race. it is a full court press for the swing states. next hour, we'll take you to the heart of the smallest battleground and see how just a few electoral votes can have a very big impact. i gave birth to my daughter on may 18th, five days later, i had a massive heart attack. bayer aspirin was the first thing the emts gave me. now, i'm on a bayer aspirin regimen. [ male announcer ] be sure to talk to your doctor before you begin an aspirin regimen. [ woman ] learn from my story. i just served my mother-in-law your c
polls show warren up by four. polls many virginia have the democrat, former governor tim kaine leading george allen by just two points. with races all tied up many places like nevada, arizona, montana, north dakota, wisconsin, and connecticut, it could be a nail-biter on tuesday night. now, democrats say they are cautiously optimistic about their prospects. while a republican official said recently romney has to win for us to win the senate. radi. >> thank you very much. >>> now...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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polls have always shown president obama up by a couple of points in iowa. that has tightened a little bit but the democrats are feeling confident about iowa, a two- or three-point cushion for the president there. and some of the issues for iowa are different from the rest of the nation. another thing they can point out, they can afford to lose iowa. as long as the president wins nevada and ohio, let iowa go and new hampshire. they're going to continue to hard there but there are a lot more different places where the president can get the 271. >> eliot: it sounds like the president may not be sleeping well, but he's sleeping better than mitt romney if you sum it all up. david shuster, thank you so much. >> you're welcome. >> eliot: i'm heading over to hbo for >> jennifer: i'm jennifer granholm tonight in
polls have always shown president obama up by a couple of points in iowa. that has tightened a little bit but the democrats are feeling confident about iowa, a two- or three-point cushion for the president there. and some of the issues for iowa are different from the rest of the nation. another thing they can point out, they can afford to lose iowa. as long as the president wins nevada and ohio, let iowa go and new hampshire. they're going to continue to hard there but there are a lot more...
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Oct 30, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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the likelihood that president obama has an actual lead based on the polls is 97%. that doesn't mean that he has a 97% chance of winning ohio. it just means that he has 97% of leading today in ohio. now wisconsin 49.8%-46.0%. probability of the lead today is 98.5%. then you go to i had iowa. another somewhat comfortable lead for president obama. probability of his lead is 95.3%. and then in nevada, 49.7%-46.4%, and again 98.1% chance that he actually has got the lead in that state. when you look at 95% and above in the four states that he absolutely has to win--he could lose every other state, florida, virginia, all the other swing states, north carolina, he still gets 277 electoral votes and continues to be president of the united states. so as we get all those national polls that make people panic understand that this is a collection of polls and it doesn't look so bad. it looks pretty good, in fact. now of course, a deal now to cinch the deal in ohio they send bubba. >> we went to florida last night. he said, i got to go back right now. this storm is getting out
the likelihood that president obama has an actual lead based on the polls is 97%. that doesn't mean that he has a 97% chance of winning ohio. it just means that he has 97% of leading today in ohio. now wisconsin 49.8%-46.0%. probability of the lead today is 98.5%. then you go to i had iowa. another somewhat comfortable lead for president obama. probability of his lead is 95.3%. and then in nevada, 49.7%-46.4%, and again 98.1% chance that he actually has got the lead in that state. when you look...
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republican secretary of state john who has been working hard to restrict ohio voters access to the polls hundreds of thousands of ohioans particularly minorities took advantage of early voting in two thousand and eight to elect a president obama so the attorney general in ohio cut down on those early voting hours and now the courts have given him a new tool to restrict the vote on wednesday a panel of three conservative justices all appointed by george w. bush or his dad ruled in favor of the secretary of state of ohio paving the way for massive voter disenfranchisement there it's kicking people off the voting rolls in that key swing state court of the ruling voters who are told by poll workers to vote at the wrong precinct and then do so lose their right to have those their votes counted a previous court ruling had ordered the voters who were misled by poll workers still have the right down the road counted but that's now been overturned. we already know that the romney campaign has sent out flyers to prospective ballot watchers in wisconsin telling them to give misleading information t
republican secretary of state john who has been working hard to restrict ohio voters access to the polls hundreds of thousands of ohioans particularly minorities took advantage of early voting in two thousand and eight to elect a president obama so the attorney general in ohio cut down on those early voting hours and now the courts have given him a new tool to restrict the vote on wednesday a panel of three conservative justices all appointed by george w. bush or his dad ruled in favor of the...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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CNNW
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. >> a national poll showing romney's national favorability at 53%, just shy of obama at 54%, there used to be a much greater gap there, are we saying that turn decideds are certainly playing a role in a big way here? >> yes, i think that usually, in most polling experts, most of the political experts who have studied this over the years, if you're undecided at this late stage, you have a tendency numb necessarily huge numbers, but in bigger numbers for the challanger as opposed to the incumbent. you've known the incumbent for four years, you've gotten used to it, you know what to expect. the challenger, if you're still undecided, there's a tendency to break for the challenger. >> do we think this election really will be this close? >> yes, i think it will be this close. i'm going to be anchoring our coverage, as you know, tuesday night, so i'm getting ready for a long night. four years ago at 11:00 p.m. on the east coast when the polls closed on the west coast, california, oregon, washington state, hawaii, we projected a winner of 270-plus electoral college votes for barack obama. i don
. >> a national poll showing romney's national favorability at 53%, just shy of obama at 54%, there used to be a much greater gap there, are we saying that turn decideds are certainly playing a role in a big way here? >> yes, i think that usually, in most polling experts, most of the political experts who have studied this over the years, if you're undecided at this late stage, you have a tendency numb necessarily huge numbers, but in bigger numbers for the challanger as opposed to...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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CSPAN
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and the polling in north carolina still suggests that the president -- that obama care is still not very popular in north carolina although you start taking pieces of that like preexisting conditions and that sort of thing, it becomes various parts of it are more popular with the public. it's been a tough sell in north carolina. i think it's one of the reasons for example in 2010 that the state legislature went republican. it's one of the reasons that democratic congressmen lost his congressional seat here in north carolina. so it's been a tough issue for democrats. i don't think there's any question about that and a good issue for republicans. host: rob christensen talking to us from north carolina. you can read some of his writings at news observer.com. host: what are you going to be watching for on election night in north carolina? guest: the national presidential race is why people are looking at north carolina. but in the state we have -- it's been a battleground -- we have several battlegrounds going on. we have a governor's race going on. north carolina has had 20 years of democra
and the polling in north carolina still suggests that the president -- that obama care is still not very popular in north carolina although you start taking pieces of that like preexisting conditions and that sort of thing, it becomes various parts of it are more popular with the public. it's been a tough sell in north carolina. i think it's one of the reasons for example in 2010 that the state legislature went republican. it's one of the reasons that democratic congressmen lost his...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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you saw the poll, likely voters in ohio, 50% for obama, 46 for mitt romney. this is a critically important state we like to say and it's true, no republican has won the white house without taking ohio. >> no republican has ever won without it. that's a statistical tie. even though that's been the margin of error for months, the president has been ahead in ohio. here's what we're going to watch, over here. the president did well on this area four years ago. the romney campaign thinks the attacks on the coal industry will help him here. this is one state when you look at the male, white vote. if you look in wisconsin, michigan and ohio, this is where the auto bailout plays out. you see the president standing among white males a little bit higher in those states with a piece of the auto industry than other places. and when you look at the electoral map. it is almost impossible for romney to win without that. so he's in play there right now, but slight edge to the president. >> if the president wins ohio, it will be because of the auto industry. >> that's the num
you saw the poll, likely voters in ohio, 50% for obama, 46 for mitt romney. this is a critically important state we like to say and it's true, no republican has won the white house without taking ohio. >> no republican has ever won without it. that's a statistical tie. even though that's been the margin of error for months, the president has been ahead in ohio. here's what we're going to watch, over here. the president did well on this area four years ago. the romney campaign thinks the...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters. >> the closing weeks of this campaign, governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same policies that failed our country so badly. and he is offering them change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. and what the governor is offering sure ain't change. >> it sure ain't change. but governor romney is good at changing on every position and doing anything to win. on the trail, he's trying to sound warm and cuddly. he's now taking a soft attack. the new york times quoting him on the trail
romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters....
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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the real clear politics shows president obama with 47.4% in national polls, mitt romney has 47.3% the new york times 538 blog says that if the election were held today, the president would win 303 electoral votes and romney would win 235. 270 are needed to win the white house. the times blog gives the president an 81% chance of winning the election. romney has a 19% chance. and as of tonight, 25 million people have already voted but long lines are creating a serious situation in some parts of florida. yes, florida all over again. some people are waiting three hours or more to vote and we will be asking why governor rick scott in florida is refusing to extend hours as his predecessors have done. but we start with tonight's lead. the closer. just four days to go and president obama is sprinting to the finish line with a passionate pitch to ohio voters and he's doing so by dismantling governor romney's rationale in this race one line of the obama argument, i am the guy you know. >> after four years as president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i've made, you may be fru
the real clear politics shows president obama with 47.4% in national polls, mitt romney has 47.3% the new york times 538 blog says that if the election were held today, the president would win 303 electoral votes and romney would win 235. 270 are needed to win the white house. the times blog gives the president an 81% chance of winning the election. romney has a 19% chance. and as of tonight, 25 million people have already voted but long lines are creating a serious situation in some parts of...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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FOXNEWS
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look at the polls in ohio, today barack obama is almost exactly where george w. bush was in the polls in ohio 8 years ago. look at the job approval ratings, barack obama's job approval rating is almost exactly where george w. bush's approval rating is. the only thing looking better for romney at this point is obama is worse off in the polls. george w. bush had a 1.5 percentage-point lead going into election day and right now it is even. >> greta: rick what is the best thing politically that governor romney is looking at right now, when looks at this and what is the best thing politically president obama is looking at when they look at what is winding down between now and tuesday? >> romney looks at the number among independents and also looks at the possibility of building this national lead and i think closing on the economy. closing with what works for him in terms of making the argument he is the candidate of change. he has to hope for a big weekend to turn things around a little bit in terms of the close and i think president obama has to feel good about how
look at the polls in ohio, today barack obama is almost exactly where george w. bush was in the polls in ohio 8 years ago. look at the job approval ratings, barack obama's job approval rating is almost exactly where george w. bush's approval rating is. the only thing looking better for romney at this point is obama is worse off in the polls. george w. bush had a 1.5 percentage-point lead going into election day and right now it is even. >> greta: rick what is the best thing politically...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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that shows some resurgence by president obama in the poll we did in early october. weighs down four among likely voters. he's regained the support of women voters, some of whom he lost in that first presidential debate. we see him making up the lost ground from the debates in the final weeks of campaigning. but man, 48-48 among likely voters who could call a contest like this one? >> when you talk about the gender gap, he has in your poll in the swing states at least, president obama has a huge, 26-point gender gap with women. but take a look at what men are saying about mitt romney. >> mitt romney has men -- according to your polling, fiercely pro romney. >> we have a big gender divide as you said, 26%. but look at the racial divide. when you put race and gender together, white men are going for mitt romney by 27 percentage points in this poll. it shows the divide we've had. and the way that the parties are putting together coalitions that are so extremely different from each other and divide the electorate almost evenly. >> ruth marcus, when we talk about such a p
that shows some resurgence by president obama in the poll we did in early october. weighs down four among likely voters. he's regained the support of women voters, some of whom he lost in that first presidential debate. we see him making up the lost ground from the debates in the final weeks of campaigning. but man, 48-48 among likely voters who could call a contest like this one? >> when you talk about the gender gap, he has in your poll in the swing states at least, president obama has...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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MSNBC
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president obama and governor romney's renewed campaign come as the latest polls show president obama lead big six points in eye but locked in a tight balle with romney in new hampshire and wisconsin. nearly all interviews conducted before hurricane sandy, which just might end up being the defining moment of this election. joining me today to discuss all of this and more, msnbc political analyst and national affairs editor for "new york" magazine, john heilemann. msnbc political analyst and executive editor of msnbc.com, richard wolffe. msnbc political analyst, jonathan alter of bloomberg view, and msnbc political analyst and former dnc, karen finney, hopefully joining us shortly. john, i go to you first. in terms of sandy being an inflection point, game changer, if you will, a term we do not toss around lightly, are we -- is it -- is it a game changer? can you prognosticate that far? do you think the president is stronger coming out of the sandy response as a candidate? >> look, there's no question that if you think about this storm and what it's done to the media environment over th
president obama and governor romney's renewed campaign come as the latest polls show president obama lead big six points in eye but locked in a tight balle with romney in new hampshire and wisconsin. nearly all interviews conducted before hurricane sandy, which just might end up being the defining moment of this election. joining me today to discuss all of this and more, msnbc political analyst and national affairs editor for "new york" magazine, john heilemann. msnbc political...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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and in wisconsin, the polling average has mr. obama ahead by more, by five points. then at 10:00 eastern time, polls will be closed in all of those states and we'll be closing polls in the 10:00 eastern time in that hour in the states that you see blinking right here. these four states. of those four states, iowa, montana, nevada, and utah, two of them are going to be watched really closely. those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily for the presidency. unless things go very, very differently than expected to go. this is how your election viewing is going to unfold hour by hour on tuesday night. if you just exclude the states f
and in wisconsin, the polling average has mr. obama ahead by more, by five points. then at 10:00 eastern time, polls will be closed in all of those states and we'll be closing polls in the 10:00 eastern time in that hour in the states that you see blinking right here. these four states. of those four states, iowa, montana, nevada, and utah, two of them are going to be watched really closely. those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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MSNBCW
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of those two dozen polls, of those 24 polls, how many does president obama lead in? 24 of the 24. every single one. and look at the rest of mr. romney's campaign schedule. he's taking the one trip to pennsylvania that republicans always take. but other than that, he was in ohio and wisconsin today. he was scheduled to be in new hampshire, iowa and colorado in the final days. and he just spent the last couple days in florida and virginia. that means the map is not expanding. no the if you can't afford to walk away from any battle ground states. he's still flogging it out where he has to win. all of this we're going to win stuff is a fake out, it's a bluff, it's trash talk. and there's nothing wrong with it. it happens every year. you should know it's a dependable part of the end of presidential campaigns. but every once in awhile at the end of a presidential campaign, this expected faint, this attempt at a fake out that everybody knows is coming, every once in awhile it's revealed as a fake out. every once in awhile you get from the campaign an admission that they actually know the
of those two dozen polls, of those 24 polls, how many does president obama lead in? 24 of the 24. every single one. and look at the rest of mr. romney's campaign schedule. he's taking the one trip to pennsylvania that republicans always take. but other than that, he was in ohio and wisconsin today. he was scheduled to be in new hampshire, iowa and colorado in the final days. and he just spent the last couple days in florida and virginia. that means the map is not expanding. no the if you can't...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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the latest cnn poll of polls has romney at 48% and president obama at 47%. so, essentially, this is a dead heat. the president's campaigning through new hampshire today, hoping to win some of those voters over and mitt romney headed to florida. both key battleground states, but stick with us for updates because this tropical storm, sandy, could certainly change all the campaign plans. >>> senate majority leader harry reid has been released from the hospital after getting into a car crash in las vegas. vehicles in his motorcade crash with a civilian car. the 72-year-old democrat suffered rib and hip contusions, but we're told he's in good condition. >>> warnings ignored. that's the finding of a report from the food and drug administration in the meningitis outbreak responsible for 25 deaths. mold and bacteria overgrowth were detected and reported almost 90 times since january to the new england compounding center. the company linked to the outbreak. the fda says it has no evidence the company ever responded to those warnings. >>> finally, lance armstrong is b
the latest cnn poll of polls has romney at 48% and president obama at 47%. so, essentially, this is a dead heat. the president's campaigning through new hampshire today, hoping to win some of those voters over and mitt romney headed to florida. both key battleground states, but stick with us for updates because this tropical storm, sandy, could certainly change all the campaign plans. >>> senate majority leader harry reid has been released from the hospital after getting into a car...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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MSNBC
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according to our polls that you just showed in iowa, president obama has a lead. in wisconsin, it's a smaller lead. some other public polls suggest that as well. however, the romney campaign has made it adamantly clear that according to their polls in iowa, the race is dead even. so it really kind of matters where you actually see the race right now. but it's largely going to come down, as chuck pointed out, to the midwest and that's why you'll see president obama campaigning in ohio, wisconsin, iowa a lot these last five days. >> amy, let me bring you in. i know to mark's point, i believe it was one of the romney advisers or a supporter who said i think the word was "crap" when it comes to polls, at least the ones they didn't like to see. nevertheless, you can disagree with the percentage point here or there, but we've not seen a poll where governor romney is leading in a battleground state. >> no, we haven't. but he feels really good about florida. his team does. i don't think it's a double-digit lead, but they're feeling good about florida. they're feeling good
according to our polls that you just showed in iowa, president obama has a lead. in wisconsin, it's a smaller lead. some other public polls suggest that as well. however, the romney campaign has made it adamantly clear that according to their polls in iowa, the race is dead even. so it really kind of matters where you actually see the race right now. but it's largely going to come down, as chuck pointed out, to the midwest and that's why you'll see president obama campaigning in ohio,...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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we're within striking distance but the polls show president obama with a five-point lead. some had it smaller. >> quickly, they say the economy is improving and according to the polls most give president obama a credit for. >> we're actually seeing that people voting for president obama supporting him in polls optimistic and bullish on the state of the economy. if you're a romney voter or you're leaning towards romney in the polls probably have the opposite view. that's where we're going to see in the exit polls come november 6th. >> all right. thank you very much. we appreciate it. taking the audience to breaking news. new video, president obama walking off the helicopter after the aerial tour of new jersey with governor chris christie right there who's certainly been praising the president's response to the storm. we'll hear from the two of them likely within the hour. or very soon. about to take a ground tour. imagine they're talking with people who lost everything or much of what they have. so we'll bring it to you. another image of the day likely the image so many wil
we're within striking distance but the polls show president obama with a five-point lead. some had it smaller. >> quickly, they say the economy is improving and according to the polls most give president obama a credit for. >> we're actually seeing that people voting for president obama supporting him in polls optimistic and bullish on the state of the economy. if you're a romney voter or you're leaning towards romney in the polls probably have the opposite view. that's where we're...